"win"? There probably was not a single cargo event that was not completed.
Then comparing cargo event where only 4 IDs are allowed into with absolutely open cargo event with a reward of fixed Titan ship or any other 5ker powertrader's dream of immense profits event.
Then you are comparing an event where there is only one dock point midway with total of 200k cruising with events where you have dockables almost every lane.
Also the supposed number of unlawful trade ships Vs supposed number of lawful combat ships has some disparity in theory, doesn't it?
It's horrible comparison due to such a different nature of lawful Vs unlawful trading circumstances. The point of these events are not win/lose. It's always win/win because participation is its own reward via bonuses and possible individual rewards.