Look at it this way: At the moment [insert faction a] are winning a few battles in [insert system], but are losing the war to [insert faction b].
Let's take the Liberty example: If you need it happening on the server to "make it true" then towards the end of 4.86 round up all the Liberty and Rheinland forces you can, and have the Rheinlanders intentionally lose. "The Rheinland fleet is shattered, and although it won many a battle, it ultimately lost the war". Tada, people can have fun playing 4.86 and everyone can relax.